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  • Jan 01 2017

    38.5% Chance

    Computers will become conscious

    Technology will allow people to pack enough computing power inside a single computer chip, good enough to simulate the e...

    Expired Influence - 435 Comments - 4 Agree Disgree Challenge
  • Jan 01 2020

    94.1% Chance

    More decisions will be made by nonhuman entities

    More decisions will be made by nonhuman entities. Electronically enabled teams in networks, robots with artificial intel...

    Expired Influence - 528 Comments - 2 Agree Disgree Challenge
  • Jan 01 2020

    50.0% Chance

    Artificial Intelligence reaches human levels

    Artificial Intelligence reaches human levels. There are now two intelligent species on Earth, one biological, and one no...

    Expired Influence - 230 Comments - 0 Agree Disgree Challenge
  • Jan 01 2025

    50.0% Chance

    Quantum consciousness - proven and utilized

    Penrose & Hameroff end up with a Nobel prize for their Orchestrated objective reduction theory as the model is validated...

    Expired Influence - 149 Comments - 0 Agree Disgree Challenge
  • Jan 01 2025

    50.0% Chance

    Vehicles use arbitrary short range networks to make predictions and communicate hazards

    Rather than primary centralised control centres, self driving vehicles talk to each other to inform each other of hazard...

    Expired Influence - 148 Comments - 0 Agree Disgree Challenge
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